October 12, 2004

by Reb Yudel
Syrian Surprise

This Is Rumor Control speculates that Israel and America may have reached an understanding about deposing Bashir Assad and taking out Iran. I would feel far more sanguine about the possibility if not for the Bush and Sharon track record of "quick" invasions and the creation of new "friendly" regimes:
You may have noticed Israeli Defense Minister Shaul Mofaz's curiously upbeat predictions in a set-piece interview on the eve of the Jewish New Year in Yedioth Ahronoth, headlined "Prospective Positive Changes in Iraq, Iran and Syria that would Favour Israel." In the interview, Mofaz hints at the possibility of international action against Hezbollah force in southern Lebanon. Even the Yediot interviewer expressed surprise at Mofaz's optimism. But politicians can be a self-serving lot. And wishing to appear prescient and clever, they often use such occasions to hint at matters that may already be the subject of confidential debate and exchange in Washington and Jerusalem. All the same, the Mofaz interview deserves closer inspection.

First, let's take a step or two back: This is Rumor Control has, for some six weeks, been highlighting Iran's policy of supporting resistance to the U.S. occupation of Iraq. The support is financial as well as military (by the provision of weapons and by direct support of advisory personnel on the ground.

All of this was belatedly acknowledged by the Bush administration.

This Is Rumor Control has also been clear in pointing to the precise reasons for Iran's apparent hostility: Iran is convinced that the U.S. intends to attack its nuclear facilities or to acquiesce in an Israeli attack.

Read the rest.